## UNLEASHING THE TITANS: THE NEW VANGUARD OF MILITARY SPACE LAUNCH

In an arena whose universe is as vast as the heavens themselves, three giants have announced their resolve to tip the scales of supremacy in the final frontier. On August 17, the US Space Force announced that Blue Origin will compete with SpaceX and United Launch Alliance (ULA), two long-time military contractors with years of experience, to 'provide launch services used to place national security missions in space'. The announcement, containing as much as $5.6 billion in contracts, represents a pivot point in the history of space.

### HARNESSING THE POWER OF COMPETITION

The fulcrum for this moment is the Space Force’s intention to bring previously untapped competition and innovation to its military launch capability. Dividing up its providers and breaking down its purchase power monopolies is less a matter of adjusting to space’s shifting paradigm than it is of imposing a new one.

### THE PATH TO MILITARY STARDOM: BLUE ORIGIN’S ASCENT

If the stories in this cosmic arena are meaningful, Blue Origin’s arrival to the spotlight as an important challenger to the ULA, and less recently, SpaceX, certainly seems a big part of it. Nudged from the sidelines, straining to get into the game, Jeff Bezos’s brainchild has been thrust upon the cheering crowd and is now fighting passionately to wrestle its way into the lead. This includes, by now, a continued, even desperate, struggle for quality and reliability.

### THE DUAL LANE STRATEGY: A GALACTIC CHESS GAME

A key feature of the Space Force’s new procurement strategy is the distinction between Lane 1 and Lane 2 contracts. The first, which supports less ambitious missions in low-Earth orbit, is intended to allow for much greater experimentation and risk-taking in satellite-launching. The second, which applies to the high-stakes business of getting the US’s most secret and largest satellites into orbit, will function with a higher grade of security, accuracy and innovation. This will both enable operations and set the stage for the kind of market entry that sooner or later will take off.

### THE CRITERIA CONUNDRUM: THE GATEWAY TO GLORY

There are rigorous benchmarks to clear to even get a chance to crack the door of the Space Force portfolio: only the strongest candidates, the ones with a proven track record for getting payloads to orbit on time and (most important) without causing catastrophe, can be entrusted with the nation’s strategic defence and research needs. Today, the tried-and-true Falcons of SpaceX and ULA’s younger brother rocket, the Vulcan, are among the rockets that can launch these payloads to orbit. But not far behind is Blue Origin’s New Glenn, on the eve of its first launch and hoping to become the third member of this elite and high-stakes club.

### THE ECHOES OF INNOVATION: A FUTURE SCULPTED BY RIVALRY

The consequences of this triumvirate of SpaceX, ULA and Blue Origin’s entry into the military space-launch market go well beyond simply sorting out contracts. This competitive cauldurn promises to become a pressure cooker for innovation, cost reductions and operational flexibility: the Space Force intends to make the on-ramp wide and curvy, and a host of new entrants should swarm into this crucible of invention.

### THE AGE OF REUSABILITY: A SUSTAINABLE ODYSSEY

One of the more interesting features of this new era of military-space synergism is the commitment to re-use, with rockets returning to Earth intact. SpaceX and Blue Origin led the way in these technologies, which promised not just economic feasibility, but the prospect of environmental stewardship, a cause rising to higher prominence in space.

### UNDERSTANDING FORCE IN THE COSMOS

Departing from these scenarios, force in the astronomical sense isn’t merely a marker of power but the overarching logical principle that drives the stars and the wheels of human spacefaring and discovery. It’s the thinking that fuels the physical ascent of spacecraft into orbit, but also the idiom by which it expresses the ongoing impetus of innovation, competition and expansion. At every scale, in all of these military contracts and the worldview that animates them, force is both literally and figuratively the engine that propels civilizational progress into new worlds.

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Thus, while the dogfight between Blue Origin, SpaceX and ULA in military space launches points to new paradigms in aerospace, a competition-first strategy that hinges innovation could not only augur the beginning of a golden age in space, but also set the stage for technological, defence and science breakthroughs that will occur over the coming decades. Moving forward, as these companies take to the skies, their missions will chronicle the human impulse that perpetually propelled and continues to drive man to the heavens – even when the drive’s hand is not directly visible.

Jun 15, 2024
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