The electric vehicle (EV) market is taking an unexpected turn. The European Union (EU) is mobilising a defensive barrage against what it sees as a discriminatory influx of Chinese electric vehicles into European markets, imposing tariffs of up to 38 per cent on such Chinese-made vehicles. Behind this move, we’ll examine the motivations of the EU, what’s at stake for the EV market globally, and the broader consequences such moves have on global trade relations.
At the core of the EU’s tariff plan is an attempt to shelter its nascent EV manufacturing sector from competition from heavily subsidised Chinese electric vehicles. The existing 10 per cent tariff apparently failed to offset the benefits of the Chinese state’s subsidies so the additional financial burden on Chinese manufacturers from the European Commission’s move is meant to increase their costs. BYD, Geely and other Chinese carmakers face tariffs ranging between 17.4 per cent and 20 per cent, while SAIC faces an additional 38 per cent tariff.
This move also is not without industry strategy: separation of tariff rates among various Chinese manufactures based on their willingness to cooperate with an EU investigation that’s considering action on China’s subsidies to manufacturers now and in the future. The move is a masterful encouragement of transparency among Chinese EV makers. It could potentially change the game on international trade practices for subsidies and fair competition.
Diplomacy is of crucial importance, too. The European Commission’s chief spokesman Margaritis Schinas has reached out to the Chinese authorities, saying that the EU ‘remains ready to explore possible ways to resolve’ the growing dispute. The EU made it clear from the beginning that it prefers to solve the impasse at the negotiating table rather than getting embroiled in a tariff war. The last chance for this is still there, but the clock is ticking. The new tariffs will take effect on 4 July.
Perhaps the biggest consideration for the EU’s move is how China responds. There is a fear that any move to punish Europe for its decision could prompt a general increase in EV prices, which in turn could dampen the rate of uptake of electric vehicles at a time when global efforts to move away from burning fossil fuels are accelerating. It is all about how to protect local industry while also facilitating a transition to sustainable world transport.
The announcement from the EU did not come in a vacuum; it is just one of several recent economic moves to cut off China from global markets. It parallels a US move, which increased tariffs on EVs produced in China and a host of other products, and it is part of a broader story of economic decoupling and remaking of trade to reflect strategic competition.
The impact of these EU tariffs will be felt far beyond the borders of Europe and China, especially if this dispute spirals into an all-out ‘trade war’. It also raises pressing questions about the future of international cooperation on climate change and sustainable development, but also for the multinational corporations whose global supply chains will be increasingly imperilled by global trade fragmentation.
The move to impose up to an additional 21 per cent tariff on electric vehicles made in China marks just the latest move in a broader and complicated strategy for the EU to protect its industries from China while navigating complex international trade and diplomatic dynamics. By changing the financial playing field for Chinese EV manufacturers, the EU hopes to set up a competition fight with Chinese firms that does not completely destroy its industry. The move signals how deeply corporatism and the global corporatocracy permeate the political economy, by using the rhetoric of environmentalism to rationalise a move that flags international tensions, from economic, ecological to geopolitical interests.
The way this high-risk EU move will play out will have significant implications for trade relations and the global economy, as well as for the goals of creating sustainable societies. And so it is essential to tread carefully, diplomatically and in tandem.
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