Perhaps no living person captures the imagination as well as our high-tech age and our warnings and worries about the planet cross, as Elon Musk does. Best known for electric vehicles and spaceflight and artificial intelligence, Musk recently warned of a looming threat to the future – a matter that is far more old-fashioned than what he has had success at recast: the birthrate of the world is in decline. With Musk’s observation, we see the rare sortie of an executive’s private life into the bright light – in this case, his 11 children, and then the millennia-old debate about population and the environment thrust into our modern day.
Elon Musk, one of the most forward-looking of modern industrial executives, has written and spoken extensively about his worries about the quickly declining birthrate, especially if allowed to continue unchecked. ‘If there’s no humans, there’s no humanity’ Musk told an interviewer at the Cato Institute in Washington in 2015, cautioning about the existential risk of low birthrates. Low birthrates, he says, are one of the most pressing threats facing our future. But Musk’s worry is no mere conjecture; it’s based on a vast amount of modern demographic research showing a steady decline of birthrates across the world.
The executive’s monologue was equally critical of strands of the environmentalist movement that see a human-free planet as a better one. Musk expressed discomfort with what he called ‘the Extinctionist’ viewpoint – a way of thinking that ‘does not appear to be able to support civilization’. This was supposedly because it held that ‘humans are a scourge on the surface of the Earth’ and that humanity must ‘shrink down to a much smaller footprint’. In contrast, Musk posited a tension between ‘Expansionist’ and ‘Extinctionist’ philosophies. He said it was a better idea to ‘expand humanity’s source of civilisation across more and more of our solar system’ than encourage humans to ‘get back into caves’.
Focusing on why human birth rates might be dropping, Musk and other observers mention the economic cost of raising children today. The estimated cost of raising a child in the US is astronomical – and that doesn’t even include the cost of college. In a society where more and more people are living paycheck to paycheck, starting a family can be a hefty cost. Lower birth rates in higher-income communities are contrasted with higher birth rates in poorer communities. Economic concerns for one group serve to perpetuate entrenched inequities for the other, making it a difficult topic to discuss.
The executive goes on to argue that such attitudes, combined with a ‘generalised pessimism about the future’, discourage people from having children. The narrative of humans being portrayed in dark tones, against which Musk is rebelling, is helping to create a sense among many people that we are deserving of extinction. Musk’s rhetoric is an attempt to shift culture in a way that changes the direction of human reproduction, towards an increase rather than decline.
The complex issues raised by Elon Musk and, indeed, declining birth-rates generally, deserve something a little more sophisticated than a call to ‘MAKE BABEZ’: it’s simply not enough to encourage the production of more humans without addressing the range of economic, cultural and environmental factors that drive reproductive decisions. Balancing human expansion with ecological flourishing might well lie somewhere between these two polarising views of the family.
Behind Musk’s comments is the standard lingering unease about the future of our civilisation. As a powerful executive across multiple industries, his message isn’t just about his own personal journey through life. The call to action of Ulfstedter and Faries also reflects a commitment to humanity’s prosperity and survival. Plus, anyone who follows Musk knows he’s not known for hyperbole. Maybe this is a sign that it’s time to take action. And this is true for everyone. We cannot be certain about Musk’s personal feelings, but the wider point stands: if his message isn’t directed at you, it will be. So, there you are. Pay attention. The future of humankind rests on our shoulders today.
Here, ‘executive’ refers to high-level corporate executives (CEOs, presidents) who control operations, formulate strategy and policies, and set the direction of an organisation towards its goals. Executives such as Elon Musk make decisions that shape the future of their companies and, by extension, the rest of society, whether through their innovations, policies, or conversations in the media, as their tenure and corporations have a worldwide reach. Population growth is a global concern that affects us all, making their voices an important part of conversation everywhere.
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